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| Most Recent... | | | Democratic Debate | Republican Debate | Third Party Event | Democratic Event | Republican Event | | | Make This Your Home Page! |
The freshman class of the U.S. House
29 new House Democrats 20 new House Republicans Click for details of each House race.
The freshman class of the U.S. Senate
Click for details of each Senate race.
Pres.Elect Obama appoints Chief of Staff: Rep. Rahm Emanuel Pres.-Elect Obama has selected Rahm Emanuel as his White House Chief of Staff. Emanuel will assist in selecting the president's Cabinet.
Click for details of Bush Cabinet.
Obama over McCain, 365 to 173 Our presidential prediction was correct in 42 states and incorrect in 8 states. Map below; click for larger version. We are most proud of our accurate prediction of a Nebraska electoral vote split, which most media organizations are still reporting incorrectly as of Nov. 19.
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Click for John McCain's and Barack Obama's issue stances & voting record.
We predict a net gain of 6 Senate seats for the Democrats We have a scary prediction for Halloween: Democrats will control the US House, the US Senate, and the US Presidency. We at OnTheIssues believe that hurts the "balance of powers", one of the core principles of the Constitution. But we believe this outcome will come about because the Republican Party did not learn the lesson of their 2006 election loss: the GOP continued pushing the same economic policy, and the same Iraq war policy, as before 2006, with the same predictable results in 2008. We believe that will be seen as an historical mistake; we only hope that the Republican Party will learn the lesson this time around, so that they can undo the gross imbalance of power in 2010.
Click for details of each Senate race.
We predict Obama over McCain, 351 to 187 Before you read this, you should know that OnTheIssues has predicted wrong in every presidential election since we were founded in 1999. With that in mind, we predict a small landslide for Barack Obama next Tuesday. Our detailed state-by-state prediction appears below (click for larger image). We predict that Obama will gain "blue states" over Kerry's 2004 results in the following categories:
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Click for John McCain's and Barack Obama's issue stances & voting record.
We predict a net gain of 15 to 27 House seats for the Democrats 2008 appears destined to be as bad a year for the Republican Party in the US House as 1994 was for the Democratic Party. In 1994, Newt Gingrich oversaw a massive turnover of House seats based on the Contract With America. In 2008, the paired woes of the economy and the Iraq War will oust dozens of Republican House members, we predict. In 1994, the Republicans enjoyed a net gain of 54 House seats, capturing the majority by a 26-seat margin. In 2008, the Democrats may enjoy nearly as large a victory, expanding upon their existing 235-199 majority, a 36-seat margin. The lists below indicate the vulnerable House seats for each party. (All challengers are detailed on our main House page). In summary, Republican incumbents have 58 vulnerable seats, while the Democrats have only 25 vulnerable seats. We categorize them as follows:
Click for details of each House race.
See full coverage of Colin Powell's issue stances Colin Powell, the latest big figure to back Mr Obama, might have had a few kind words for his old friend and party colleague - but he's still voting for the Democrat. It is a decision which will come as a particular blow to John McCain. Mr Powell is, after all, a Republican, a lion of the party and a former general with impeccable national security credentials. Powell served as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff during the first Gulf War in 1991 and was then Secretary of State during George W Bush's first term in office. He is a big player in Washington and a contemporary of Mr McCain. His view that America needs the generational change which Mr Obama is in a position to offer will undermine his old friend's credibility. The endorsement was offered during a thoughtful TV interview rather than on stage at an Obama rally. It is particularly damaging for the Republicans that Mr Powell suggested Sarah Palin's inclusion on the ticket and the negative tone of the campaign were major factors in his decision. The implication is clear - that his own party could have won his support, but failed to do so. Mr Powell's views probably carry quite a bit of weight with the type of military veterans who are natural McCain voters and who distrust Obama - in part at least - because of his lack of international experience.
Click for complete records of Gen. Colin Powell's and Barack Obama's issue stances & voting record.
McCain vs. Obama at Hofstra University
Click for Excerpts from the third debate.
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| Excerpts from Change We Can Believe In: Posted Oct. 13, 2008 | ![]() |
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Budget & Economy Clinton left behind a surplus; Bush squandered it. |
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Civil Rights Legalized discrimination meant blacks could not amass wealth. |
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Crime Reformed death penalty by listening & compromising. We need more cops; but we also need more families. |
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Education $10 billion to guarantee early childhood education for all. Pay for college education for those who commit to teaching. |
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Energy & Oil Harness homegrown, alternative fuels like ethanol. $150B over 10 years to establish a green energy sector. |
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Families & Children I know what it means to have an absent father. Reward fathers who pay child support with larger EITC. |
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Foreign Policy In Berlin: proud citizen of US; fellow citizen of the world. In Cold War, we won hearts & minds; now do same to world. |
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Free Trade Impossible to turn back globalization; we'd be worse off. Global trade is unsustainable if it favors only the few. |
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Government Reform Use technology to shine a light on spending. |
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Health Care Universal health care by of first term. |
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Homeland Security Wrote law to secure & destroy world's deadliest weapons. Seek the peace of a world without nuclear weapons. |
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Principles & Values We are choosing hope over fear. We've never really worked through complexities of race. |
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Tax Reform Middle class tax cut helps offset rising cost of gas & food. |
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Technology Broadband in heart of inner cities and rural towns. National Infrastructure Reinvestment Bank: $60B in 10 years. |
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Welfare & Poverty Welfare policies contributed to erosion of black families. |
| Second presidential debate: Oct. 7th, 2008 | ![]() |
| Second of three debates, at Belmont University, in a "Town Forum" format. | |
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Budget & Economy Barack Obama: I sought re-regulation; McCain boasts he's a deregulator. John McCain: We've laid a $10 trillion debt on our young people. John McCain: Buy up bad mortgages so people can stay in homes. John McCain: I suspended my campaign to help resolve financial crisis. | |
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Energy & Oil Barack Obama: $15B to free us from foreign oil in 10 years. Barack Obama: Nuclear power ok, as one component of energy mix. John McCain: All of the above: nuclear, wind, tide, solar, gas, coal. John McCain: Nuclear power is the best way to fix climate change. | |
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Government Reform John McCain: We need a reformer because system in Washington is broken. John McCain: I fought earmarks even in defense spending. | |
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Health Care Barack Obama: No exclusions for pre-existing conditions. | |
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Homeland Security Barack Obama: Serving America doesn't mean going out shopping. | |
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Social Security John McCain: Future retirees cannot get what current ones get. John McCain: It's not that tough to fix Social Security, if bipartisan. | |
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Tax Reform Barack Obama: My plan cuts taxes for most small businesses & 95% of people. John McCain: Keep tax rates the same; let's not raise anybody's taxes. | |
| Vice presidential debate: Oct. 2th, 2008 | ![]() |
| First and only V.P. debate, between Gov. Sarah Palin (R, AK) and Sen. Joe Biden (D, DE) | |
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Civil Rights Joe Biden: No on gay marriage; yes on equal treatment. Sarah Palin: Non-support of anything but traditional marriage. | |
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Energy & Oil Joe Biden: I have supported clean coal for 25 years. Joe Biden: Cause of global warming is clearly Man-made. Sarah Palin: I do support capping carbon emissions. Sarah Palin: Exxon & Conoco are not my biggest fan. Sarah Palin: Nonsensical to leave domestic supply untapped. Sarah Palin: Cyclical temperature changes affect climate change. | |
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Families & Children Joe Biden: I've been a single parent; I know the difficulties. | |
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Foreign Policy Joe Biden: Time to sit down and talk, talk, talk to enemies. Sarah Palin: Some dictators hate America & what we stand for. | |
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Government Reform Joe Biden: Led fight against Bork based on ideology. Sarah Palin: Agrees with Cheney that VP as executive is flexible. | |
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Health Care Joe Biden: McCain health plan is ultimate Bridge to Nowhere. Sarah Palin: $5,000 tax credit for families to buy their own coverage. | |
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Homeland Security Joe Biden: We spend same in 3 weeks in Iraq as 7 years in Afghanistan. Sarah Palin: Economic sanctions on North Korea for nukes. | |
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Principles & Values Joe Biden: As VP, I'll be point person in Congress. Joe Biden: Cheney has been most dangerous VP in history. Sarah Palin: By working with all parties, never had to compromise. | |
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War & Peace Joe Biden: We will end Iraq War; McCain has no end in sight. Joe Biden: My push for Bosnian intervention saved 1000s of lives. Sarah Palin: No white flag of surrender on Iraq. Sarah Palin: Divest from Sudan; enforce no-fly zone in Darfur. | |
| First presidential debate: Sept. 26th, 2008 | ![]() |
| First of three debates, at the University of Mississippi, took place three days after Sen. McCain suspended his campaign due to the financial crisis. | |
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Budget & Economy Barack Obama: The lax regulation that Bush favored got us in this disaster. John McCain: Have no doubt about the magnitude of financial crisis. | |
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Corporations Barack Obama: We need Wall Street responsibility BEFORE financial crises. John McCain: Warned about corporate greed & excess; supports bailout. | |
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Government Reform Barack Obama: Eliminating earmarks isn't enough; but I'll ceck every line. John McCain: Get earmarks under control to deal with the financial crisis. | |
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Health Care Barack Obama: Health tax credit is bad idea; it will cost taxpayers more. John McCain: $5,000 refundable tax credit for every family. | |
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Jobs Barack Obama: End incentives that move jobs overseas. John McCain: Cut business taxes so companies will keep jobs in US. | |
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Tax Reform Barack Obama: Yes, earmarks are abused, but small compared to tax cuts. John McCain: Worst thing in bad economic climate is to raise taxes. | |
| Senate candidate bill sponsorships: Posted Sept. 19th, 2008 | ![]() |
| Signature issues by Senate candidates, as indicated by bill sponsorships. | |
| AK | Stevens on VOIP: 08-S2919 |
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| AL |
Sessions on energy security: 08-S3240
Sessions on border prosecution: 08-S2709 |
| AR | Pryor on lead toy ban: 08-S2663 |
| CO |
Schaffer on conserving grassland: 01-H1689
Udall on veteran mental health: 08-H6268 |
| DE | See Biden's V.P. list |
| GA | Chambliss on Reserve pay: 07-S2836 |
| IA | Harkin on veterans suicide: 08-S2899 |
| ID | LaRocco on forest emergency: 93-HR229 |
| IL |
Durbin on Juneteenth: 08-SR584
Durbin on Darfur Peace: 08-SR455 |
| KS |
Roberts on Reserve feeding: 08-S3337
Slattery on water contaminants: 93-H3392 Slattery on TV advisories: 93-SR122 Slattery on super collider: 93-H1009 |
| KY |
McConnell on offshore drilling: 08-S3202
McConnell on Burma trade ban: 07-SJR16 |
| LA |
Landrieu on Charter Schools: 07-SR556
Landrieu on Youth Conference: S2771 |
| MA | Kerry on ANC terrorism: 08-S2979 |
| ME |
Collins on Seeds of Peace: 08-SR536
Collins on H-1B visas: 08-S2839 Allen on veterans' PTSD: 08-H5448 Allen on automatic IRAs: 08-S1288 |
| MI | Levin on Great Lakes compact: 08-SJR45 |
| MN | Coleman on army chiropractors: 08-SCR75 |
| MS |
Wicker on fetus protection: 08-S3111
Wicker on traditional marriage: 08-SJR43 Cochran on Diabetes: 08-S2742 |
| MT | Baucus on mental health: 08-S3101 |
| NC | Dole on English-only: 08-S2719 |
| NH | Sununu on Internet tax ban: 07-S2128 |
| NJ |
Zimmer on Megan's Law: 95-H2137
Zimmer on luxurious prisons: 95-HR663 Lautenberg on beach pollution: 08-S2844 |
| NM |
Pearce on solar energy: 08-H5805
Pearce on child slavery: 08-H5652 Udall on rare canids: 07-H1464 |
| OR | Smith on condemning Iran: 08-SR449 |
| RI | Reed on childhood cancer: 07-S911 |
| SC | Graham on veterans education: 08-S2938 |
| SD | Johnson on Argentine meat ban: 08-S3238 |
| TN | Alexander on bald eagles: 08-SR583 |
| TX |
Cornyn on troop voting: 08-S3073
Cornyn on estriol access: 08-SCR88 Cornyn on Syria sanctions: 08-S2917 |
| WY |
Barrasso on CO2 sequestration: 08-S2614
Enzi on insurance pooling: 08-S2818 |
| Sarah Palin's record: Sep. 12, 2008 | ![]() |
Interested in reading where Sarah Palin stands on the issues? The mainstream media does a great job telling all about Palin's high school nickname and details about her lipstick. In contrast, OnTheIssues.org has excerpted a complete record of Gov. Palin's issue stances from the following sources:
| Joe Biden's Senate record: Sept. 5, 2008 | ![]() |
Vice-presidential nominee Joe Biden has been in the U.S. Senate for 35 years. To understand Sen. Biden's priorities, one should look at his bill sponsorships. These bills are the issues that Biden cares most about, and on which he spends most of his legislative time and energy.
Crime:
Drugs:
Domestic policy:
Foreign policy:
| McCain chooses Gov. Sarah Palin (R, AK) for vice president: Aug. 29, 2008 | ![]() |
I am honored to announce that I have chosen Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska as my choice for the Republican nominee for Vice President. As a father with three daughters, I can't express how proud I am to choose the first female Republican Vice-Presidential nominee.
Sarah Palin is a trailblazer and a reformer. As the first female governor of Alaska, she challenged a corrupt system and has been a tireless advocate for reform - passing a landmark bill on ethics reform. She has taken on the old politics in Alaska and reformed the state's energy industry. She rejects wasteful pork barrel spending. She's fearless - exactly the type of leader I want at my side and the type of leadership we will bring to Washington.
My friends, together Sarah Palin and I make the strongest presidential ticket and I know that she joins me in asking for your support as we head into our Convention week in Minnesota. We're shaking things up in this campaign - and Governor Palin and I are ready to bring real reform to Washington.
| Speeches at Democratic Convention: Aug. 26-28, 2008 | ![]() |
| Speeches at Denver convention: | ||
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Civil Rights Barack Obama: Keep the promise of equal pay for an equal day's work. | ||
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Education Barack Obama: Invest in early childhood education and higher education. | ||
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Energy & Oil Barack Obama: Drilling is a stop-gap measure, not a long-term solution. | ||
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Families & Children Barack Obama: Help families with paid sick days and better family leave. | ||
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Foreign Policy Joe Biden: The US is less secure and more isolated in recent history. Joe Biden: Even Bush recognizes we should talk to Iran. | ||
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Government Reform Barack Obama: Eliminate government programs that no longer work. | ||
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Health Care Barack Obama: Ban insurance companies from discriminating against the sick. | ||
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Principles & Values Barack Obama: The Ownership Society really means "you're on your own". Barack Obama: Measure progress by observing how ordinary people are doing. Barack Obama: The destiny of all Americans is inextricably linked. Hillary Clinton: Confidence and optimism enable us to meet our challenges. Hillary Clinton: McCain and Bush are awfully hard to tell apart these days. Hillary Clinton: Have faith in God, in our country, and in each other. Joe Biden: Failure is at times inevitable but giving up is unforgivable. Joe Biden: Everyone is your equal, and everyone is equal to you. Joe Biden: We should embrace change just like the previous generations. | ||
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Tax Reform Barack Obama: Tax cut for 95% of all working families, not corporations. | ||
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War & Peace Barack Obama: You don't defeat a terrorist network by occupying Iraq. Barack Obama: I will only send our troops into harm's way when necessary. Joe Biden: Al-Qaeda & the Taliban have regrouped due to Bush's neglect. | ||
| Obama chooses Sen. Joe Biden (D, DE) for vice president: Aug. 23, 2008 | ![]() |
Barack Obama announced his vice presidential pick by text message (automated phone calls) at 3 AM -- harkening back to the "3 AM phone call" ads run by Obama and Hillary Clinton back in the February primaries. Clinton's ad implied Obama was not ready for the inevitable 3 AM phone call on some international emergency. Obama's new reply implies, "We are ready for anything, and we work at full-tilt, even at 3 AM."
Joe Biden ran for president in 1988, and also in 2008, dropping out on January 4th, after the Iowa caucuses. He has been in the Senate since 1972. He chairs the Foreign Policy Committee and serves on the Judiciary Committee.
As usual, OnTheIssues.org recommends that voters ignore the mainstream media's coverage of Biden. After a week of the mainstream media breathlessly speculating about Obama's vice presidential pick, the mainstream media this week will breathlessly speculate about how Biden affects Obama's and McCain's campaign. We remind voters that breathless speculation does not vote -- only you do.
Our coverage of Joe Biden includes a full Senate voting record; a set of excerpts from his biography; and excerpts from all his major debate appearances. If you want to get to know Joe Biden, read our book excerpts and our issue coverage -- then you'll know more relevant information than anything you'd learn from the breathless pundits. Following is our book review of Biden's book:
Biden focuses on what he considers his key achievements (which will likely be news to most voters!). Biden considers his lead accomplishment in his Senate career to be passage of the Violence Against Women Act in the 1990s. His other signal accomplishments include: successfully pushing Pres. Bill Clinton to bomb Serbia to free Kosovo; successfully urging Pres. Bush to return to Washington on 9/11; and successfully opposing the nomination of Robert Bork to the Supreme Court.Biden spends substantial ink in this book on the Iraq War, which he now describes as a "neocon fantasy." While Biden sounds legitimately against the war in Iraq now, his current analysis has some level of self-justification to it -- because he voted for the war in 2002. He justifies that vote now as a means for avoiding the war in Iraq, and blames the neoconservatives and Bush for going to war and for turning the war to negative results.
More than Biden informing the voters about his issue stances, this book informs voters about Biden's personal history. That personal history is likely even less known to voters than his issue stances -- and certainly makes Sen. Biden seem a more intriguing character to this analyst. Many people know Biden's history with plagiarism, from his 1988 presidential race -- he explains that as media over-hyping here. And those people more familiar with Senate history know that Biden's wife and daughter were killed in a car crash days after his election to the Senate in 1972. Clearly those two events were formative in Biden's current presidential race. But this book explores several other less-known formative events: from overcoming childhood stuttering; to his 1988 brain surgery.
Biden's book explores his lesser-known issue stances in some detail too, including their connection to his personal history. If every candidate wrote a book like this, the voters would be well-served.
| Joint appearance by McCain & Obama:Aug. 16th, 2008 | ![]() |
| Back-to-back speeches by John McCain and Barack Obama at the Saddleback Civil Forum, hosted by Pastor Rick Warren's Saddleback Church in Lake Forest, Calif. | ||
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Abortion Barack Obama: FactCheck: Abortions HAVE gone down under Pres. Bush. | ||
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Government Reform Barack Obama: FactCheck: Worked with McCain on ethics, but bill fell apart. | ||
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Health Care John McCain: FactCheck: McCain's $5,000 health tax credit would be taxed. | ||
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Tax Reform John McCain: FactCheck: $7,000-per-child tax EXEMPTION, not tax CREDIT. | ||
| OnTheIssues third party coverage: Aug. 1st, 2008 | ![]() |
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| OnTheIssues Senate voting records posted: July 25th, 2008 | ![]() |
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| OnTheIssues Senate voting records posted: July 18th, 2008 | ![]() |
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| Joint appearance by McCain & Obama: July 12th, 2008 | ![]() |
| Back-to-back speeches by John McCain and Barack Obama at the 99th annual convention of the NAACP. | ||
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Budget & Economy John McCain: Can't pass trillions of dollars of debt to our children. | ||
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Corporations Barack Obama: We still need corporate ethics & vigilant government. | ||
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Crime Barack Obama: Job training for ex-offenders, to avoid return to crime. | ||
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Education Barack Obama: Fight for social & economic justice begins in the classroom. John McCain: Vouchers and school choice for all. | ||
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Families & Children Barack Obama: Parents provide guidance by turning off TV & video games. | ||
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Health Care Barack Obama: Give more help to those denied a life of dignity & respect. John McCain: Large tax credit for families to buy their health care. | ||
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Jobs John McCain: Raising taxes eliminates jobs. | ||
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Principles & Values Barack Obama: We have to demand more from ourselves. | ||
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Tax Reform Barack Obama: Expand the Earned Income Tax Credit. John McCain: Double the personal tax exemption for every dependent. | ||
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War & Peace Barack Obama: $10 billion a month spent in Iraq should be spent in the US. | ||
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Welfare & Poverty Barack Obama: Still denying decent wages, good benefits, & fair treatment. | ||
| OnTheIssues bill sponsorships posted: July 11th, 2008 | ![]() |
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| Barack Obama books excerpted by OnTheIssues: July 4, 2008 | ![]() |
| John McCain books excerpted by OnTheIssues: July 4, 2008 | ![]() |
| Hillary Clinton books excerpted by OnTheIssues: July 2, 2008 | ![]() |
| Joint appearance by McCain & Obama: June 28th, 2008 | ![]() |
| Back-to-back speeches by John McCain and Barack Obama at the 25th annual conference of the National Association of Latino Elected & Appointed Officials. | ||
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Budget & Economy Barack Obama: Latinos & blacks are hardest hit by housing & gas crises. | ||
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Civil Rights Barack Obama: Has stood together with Latino leaders for last 20 years. | ||
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Corporations John McCain: Government should be on businesses' side, not in their way. | ||
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Education John McCain: Shake up failed school bureaucracies with competition. | ||
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Energy & Oil John McCain: Address both the supply and demand sides of imported oil. John McCain: Lexington Project: invest to achieve energy security. | ||
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Free Trade John McCain: When have Americans ever been afraid of foreign competition?. | ||
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Immigration Barack Obama: America has nothing to fear from today's immigrants. Barack Obama: We need comprehensive reform, like McCain used to support. Barack Obama: Recognize the humanity of immigrants: Todos somos Americanos. John McCain: Restart comprehensive reform only after securing borders. | ||
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Principles & Values Barack Obama: ¡Sí se puede! Yes, we can!. | ||
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Tax Reform John McCain: Terrible mistake to raise taxes during an economic downturn. | ||
| SenateMatch quizzes posted: June 20th, 2008 | ![]() |
| Our coverage of 35 Senate races in 33 states begins officially today. Click here to match your issue stances against the Senate candidates, or click below to see how each one answers the VoteMatch quiz individually. | |
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AK:Stevens v.Begich v.Cuddy v.Sikma AL:Sessions v.Figures AR:Pryor v.Kennedy CO:Schaffer v.Udall DE:Biden v.O`Donnell GA:Chambliss v.Cardwell v.Jones v.Buckley IA:Harkin v.Reed ID:Risch v.LaRocco IL:Durbin v.Sauerberg v.Stafford KS:Roberts v.Jones v.Slattery KY:McConnell v.Lunsford LA:Landrieu v.Kennedy MA:Kerry v.O`Reilly v. | |